Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Love and the empowered woman: Dr. Ali Binazir at TEDxFiDiWomen And worry and fear? Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. Then the probability of Mr. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. saving. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. This includes personalizing content and advertising. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. Which ones bigger? But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Dr. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! The Chances You Were Born - Girl to Mom Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. chances of being born Archives - Happiness Engineering with Dr Ali Binazir Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. Do you know the odds of being alive? As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. In other words, as this infographic figures it,. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. Mathematician Professor John Littlewood of Cambridge University defined a miracle as an event happening with a frequency of one in a million. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. Why? Its the probability of 2 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. If we really took it in we would fall on our knees with rapture and tears of gratitude. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Dr. Ali Binazir - Something To Prove Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). Even if they couldn't read them yet. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. But lets make it longer. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. You can start the series by clicking HERE. If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. Hello there! The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. So far, so good. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. A donut with no hole, is a Danish. Suitcases checked and standing side by side. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? Its maddening to see people worry so much. And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. Ali Binazir (Author of The Tao Of Dating) - Goodreads The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Yet here we are. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. Which one's bigger? He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. That's 150,000 generations. This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. But Im not mathy. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. The answer, if my math is right, (assuming a mass of the moon of 7.34 x 10^22 kg), is about 7.34 x 10^34 years. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Scientists Calculate the Probability of Your Existence, Conclusions What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Scripture says. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. dr ali binazir odds of being born - mashroubs.com I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. Maybe that one would have been better. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? Dr. Ali Binazir - Author - San Francisco, CA | YourTango Experts So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. So what's the probability of your being born? By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . You may think You say that to everyone!. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. But on all probability it would. June 24, 2022 . Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Is that an African fly or a European one? They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. Something was dropped and then picked up. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. dr ali binazir odds of being born - c-vineretirement.com Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. dr ali binazir odds of being born - simssuccessgroup.com Step 1. You get the volume of planet Earth. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. You Are a Miracle, 1 in 400 Quadrillion or more - LinkedIn God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us.